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Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (AAOI) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

AAOI Nasdaq Semiconductors & Related Devices DE CIK: 0001158114
Update Pending • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
80% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
C
78% Conf
C
82% Conf

📊 AAOI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $151.1M
Net Margin: -9.4%
Free Cash Flow: $-143.6M
Current Ratio: 3.83x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.19
AI Grade: C with 78% confidence
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (AAOI) receives a C fundamental grade with 80% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $151.1M, net profit margin of -9.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of -1.3%, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete AAOI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (AAOI) a Good Investment?

Claude

Applied Optoelectronics demonstrates strong 82.8% revenue growth, but this is entirely offset by severe operational unprofitability and negative free cash flow of -$143.6M, indicating fundamental execution issues. Despite a fortress balance sheet with $439.7M cash and zero debt, the current burn rate of ~$85M quarterly operating outflow is unsustainable and provides only ~5 quarters of runway before depletion.

ChatGPT

Applied Optoelectronics is showing strong top-line momentum, with revenue up 82.8% year over year and materially improved net loss and EPS trends. However, growth quality is weak because the business remains unprofitable at the operating and net levels while burning substantial cash, with deeply negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The balance sheet is currently a stabilizer due to strong liquidity, high equity, and low debt, but the company needs much better operating conversion for fundamentals to become durable.

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Key Strengths (AAOI)

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 82.8% YoY demonstrates significant market demand and sales execution
  • + Fortress balance sheet: $439.7M cash, zero long-term debt, 3.83x current ratio provides substantial financial cushion and operational flexibility
  • + Gross margin of 29.1% indicates underlying product economics and manufacturing viability are sound
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is exceptionally strong, indicating rising demand and business momentum
  • + Gross margin of 30.0% shows the company can generate meaningful product-level profitability
  • + Balance sheet is healthy with $206.14M in cash, a 2.63x current ratio, and very low debt-to-equity of 0.05x

AAOI Stock Risks: Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe cash burn: negative operating cash flow of -$85.4M and free cash flow of -$143.6M is unsustainable despite strong revenue growth; indicates fundamental operational distress
  • ! Unprofitable at scale: operating margin of -8.6% and net margin of -9.4% show the company loses money on every dollar of revenue sold despite 82.8% top-line expansion
  • ! Operating expense control failure: estimated 5-quarter cash runway remaining; company must achieve immediate profitability turnaround or face dilutive financing/asset sales
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating margin remains negative at -12.0%, showing the company has not scaled into profitability
  • ! Operating cash flow of -$174.43M and free cash flow of -$353.58M indicate poor cash generation and heavy funding needs
  • ! Negative interest coverage and ongoing losses raise execution risk if growth slows or margins fail to improve

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trajectory - must improve toward break-even then positive within 2-3 quarters to avoid cash depletion
  • * Free cash flow inflection point - path to positive FCF is critical for long-term viability
  • * Operating expense ratio relative to revenue - indicates whether cost structure can scale with revenue growth
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow improvement
  • * Operating margin progression toward sustained profitability

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (AAOI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$151.1M
Net Income
$-14.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.19
Free Cash Flow
$-143.6M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$439.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.83x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AAOI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 29.1%
Operating Margin -8.6%
Net Margin -9.4%
ROE -1.3%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin -95.0%

AAOI vs Technology Sector: How Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Compares

How Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
AAOI -9.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
AAOI Sector
ROE
AAOI -1.3%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
AAOI Sector
Current Ratio
AAOI 3.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
AAOI Sector
Debt/Equity
AAOI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
AAOI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? AAOI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-1.3%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
-9.4%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Balance Sheet: AAOI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.83x
Quick Ratio
3.03x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
29.4%
Interest Coverage
-1.38x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

AAOI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AAOI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $234.6M, Net Income -$66.0M, EPS $-3.31. Year 2022: Revenue $234.6M, Net Income -$58.5M, EPS $-2.67. Year 2023: Revenue $222.8M, Net Income -$54.2M, EPS $-2.01. Year 2024: Revenue $249.4M, Net Income -$66.4M, EPS $-2.38. Year 2025: Revenue $455.7M, Net Income -$56.0M, EPS $-1.75.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Applied Optoelectronics, Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 94% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.75 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

AAOI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-95.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AAOI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $99.9M -$9.2M $-0.18
Q3 2025 $65.2M -$17.8M $-0.28
Q2 2025 $43.3M -$9.1M $-0.16
Q1 2025 $40.7M -$9.2M $-0.18
Q3 2024 $62.5M -$9.0M $-0.27
Q2 2024 $41.6M -$16.9M $-0.57
Q1 2024 $40.7M -$16.3M $-0.56
Q3 2023 $56.7M -$9.0M $-0.27

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$85.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$58.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AAOI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001158114)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 5, 2026 8-K aaoi_8k.htm View →
Jun 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AAOI

What is the AI rating for AAOI?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (AAOI) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (C) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AAOI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 82.8% YoY demonstrates significant market demand and sales execution. Fortress balance sheet: $439.7M cash, zero long-term debt, 3.83x current ratio provides substantial financial cushion and operational flexibility. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is exceptionally strong, indicating rising demand and business momentum. Gross margin of 30.0% shows the company can generate meaningful product-level profitability.

What are the risks of investing in AAOI?

Claude: Severe cash burn: negative operating cash flow of -$85.4M and free cash flow of -$143.6M is unsustainable despite strong revenue growth; indicates fundamental operational distress. Unprofitable at scale: operating margin of -8.6% and net margin of -9.4% show the company loses money on every dollar of revenue sold despite 82.8% top-line expansion. ChatGPT: Operating margin remains negative at -12.0%, showing the company has not scaled into profitability. Operating cash flow of -$174.43M and free cash flow of -$353.58M indicate poor cash generation and heavy funding needs.

What is AAOI's revenue and growth?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. reported revenue of $151.1M.

Does AAOI pay dividends?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AAOI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001158114) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AAOI's EPS?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-0.19.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is AAOI's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. has a C grade with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is AAOI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AAOI: ROE of -1.3% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of -9.4% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is AAOI's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AAOI's free cash flow?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $-85.4M, with capital expenditures of $58.2M. FCF margin is -95.0%.

How does AAOI compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin -9.4% (avg: 18%), ROE -1.3% (avg: 22%), current ratio 3.83 (avg: 2.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI