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Allegiant Travel CO (ALGT) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

ALGT Nasdaq Air Transportation, Scheduled NV CIK: 0001362468
Update Pending • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
74% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
C
72% Conf
C
76% Conf

📊 ALGT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $732.4M
Net Margin: 5.8%
Free Cash Flow: $222.6M
Current Ratio: 0.91x
Debt/Equity: 1.63x
EPS: $2.30
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
Allegiant Travel CO (ALGT) receives a C fundamental grade with 74% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $732.4M, net profit margin of 5.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.9%, Allegiant Travel CO demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete ALGT stock analysis for 2026.

Is Allegiant Travel CO (ALGT) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite 12.1% revenue growth and strong free cash flow generation, Allegiant faces severe financial distress with an interest coverage ratio of only 0.5x, indicating operating income cannot cover debt service obligations. The combination of high leverage (1.63x debt/equity), weak profitability metrics (3.9% ROE, 5.8% net margin), flat net income growth despite revenue expansion, and a sub-1.0 current ratio creates elevated bankruptcy risk in this cyclical industry.

ChatGPT

Allegiant Travel shows solid top-line growth and still generates positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, which indicates the core business retains earnings power before financing and capital intensity. However, current fundamentals are weighed down by negative net income, very thin operating margins, sub-1.0 liquidity, and heavy leverage with extremely weak interest coverage, making the growth profile low quality until profitability normalizes and balance-sheet pressure eases.

Allegiant Travel CO Key Strengths (ALGT)

Claude
  • + Solid revenue growth of 12.1% YoY demonstrates market demand and operational scaling
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation with 30.4% FCF margin providing near-term liquidity buffer
  • + Strong operating cash flow of $268.1M supports current operations independent of profitability trends
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 12.1% year over year, showing continued demand and network resilience
  • + Operating cash flow of $389.77M and positive free cash flow of $75.10M indicate the business is still producing cash despite earnings pressure
  • + Asset base and equity remain meaningful, providing some financial flexibility if execution improves

ALGT Stock Risks: Allegiant Travel CO Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage of 0.5x indicates operating income cannot service debt; unsustainable debt dynamics
  • ! High leverage with 1.63x debt/equity ratio and $1.8B long-term debt creates default vulnerability
  • ! Current ratio of 0.91x signals liquidity stress; margin compression despite revenue growth suggests deteriorating unit economics
ChatGPT
  • ! Net margin of -1.7% and operating margin of 1.4% leave little cushion against fuel, labor, or demand shocks
  • ! Debt-to-equity of 1.60x and interest coverage of 0.2x signal elevated balance-sheet and refinancing risk
  • ! Current and quick ratios of 0.95x suggest tight near-term liquidity for a cyclical, capital-intensive airline

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trajectory - must improve above 2.5x to indicate financial stability
  • * Operating margin preservation - critical to ensure revenue growth converts to sustainable cash profits
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - monitor if strong FCF can persist if demand weakens or fuel costs rise
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and interest coverage
  • * Free cash flow after capital expenditures and long-term debt reduction

Allegiant Travel CO (ALGT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$732.4M
Net Income
$42.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.30
Free Cash Flow
$222.6M
Total Assets
$4.4B
Cash Position
$283.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 30.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

ALGT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 11.1%
Net Margin 5.8%
ROE 3.9%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin 30.4%

ALGT vs Transportation Sector: How Allegiant Travel CO Compares

How Allegiant Travel CO compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
ALGT 5.8%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
ALGT Sector
ROE
ALGT 3.9%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
ALGT Sector
Current Ratio
ALGT 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
ALGT Sector
Debt/Equity
ALGT 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
ALGT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Allegiant Travel CO Stock Overvalued? ALGT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Allegiant Travel CO shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.9%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
5.8%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.63x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Allegiant Travel CO Balance Sheet: ALGT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.91x
Quick Ratio
0.91x
Debt/Equity
1.63x
Debt/Assets
75.2%
Interest Coverage
0.54x
Long-term Debt
$1.8B

ALGT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ALGT 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $161.8M, EPS $10.00. Year 2021: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $232.1M, EPS $14.26. Year 2023: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $151.9M, EPS $8.68. Year 2024: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $2.5M, EPS $0.14. Year 2025: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $117.6M, EPS $6.29.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Allegiant Travel CO's revenue has grown significantly by 38% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $6.29 reflects profitable operations.

ALGT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
30.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALGT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Allegiant Travel CO including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $616.8M $32.1M $1.73
Q3 2025 $489.0M -$24.0M $-1.38
Q2 2025 $594.5M $12.8M $0.68
Q1 2025 $579.9M -$919.0K $-0.07
Q3 2024 $489.0M -$24.0M $-1.38
Q2 2024 $594.5M $12.8M $0.68
Q1 2024 $579.9M -$919.0K $-0.07
Q3 2023 $516.3M -$25.1M $-1.44

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Allegiant Travel CO Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$268.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$55.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$45.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ALGT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Allegiant Travel CO (CIK: 0001362468)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 8-K ef20075796_8k.htm View →
May 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
May 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
May 15, 2026 DEF 14A algt-20260513.htm View →
May 15, 2026 8-K algt-20260515.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ALGT

What is the AI rating for ALGT?

Allegiant Travel CO (ALGT) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (C) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ALGT's key strengths?

Claude: Solid revenue growth of 12.1% YoY demonstrates market demand and operational scaling. Exceptional free cash flow generation with 30.4% FCF margin providing near-term liquidity buffer. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 12.1% year over year, showing continued demand and network resilience. Operating cash flow of $389.77M and positive free cash flow of $75.10M indicate the business is still producing cash despite earnings pressure.

What are the risks of investing in ALGT?

Claude: Critical interest coverage of 0.5x indicates operating income cannot service debt; unsustainable debt dynamics. High leverage with 1.63x debt/equity ratio and $1.8B long-term debt creates default vulnerability. ChatGPT: Net margin of -1.7% and operating margin of 1.4% leave little cushion against fuel, labor, or demand shocks. Debt-to-equity of 1.60x and interest coverage of 0.2x signal elevated balance-sheet and refinancing risk.

What is ALGT's revenue and growth?

Allegiant Travel CO reported revenue of $732.4M.

Does ALGT pay dividends?

Allegiant Travel CO does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ALGT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Allegiant Travel CO (CIK: 0001362468) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ALGT's EPS?

Allegiant Travel CO has a diluted EPS of $2.30.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is ALGT's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Allegiant Travel CO has a C grade with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is ALGT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ALGT: ROE of 3.9% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 5.8% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is ALGT's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Allegiant Travel CO a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ALGT's free cash flow?

Allegiant Travel CO's operating cash flow is $268.1M, with capital expenditures of $45.4M. FCF margin is 30.4%.

How does ALGT compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 5.8% (avg: 10%), ROE 3.9% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.91 (avg: 1).

Is Allegiant Travel CO carrying too much debt?

ALGT has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63x, which is above the Transportation sector average of 1x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI