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Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

ALSN NYSE Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories DE CIK: 0001411207
Update Pending • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
72% Confidence
NEUTRAL
C
72% Conf
A
73% Conf

📊 ALSN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.4B
Net Margin: 8.0%
Free Cash Flow: $103.0M
Current Ratio: 1.85x
Debt/Equity: 2.23x
EPS: $1.33
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) receives a B fundamental grade with 72% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.4B, net profit margin of 8.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.9%, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete ALSN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite exceptional 3371.7% YoY revenue growth, Allison Transmission exhibits concerning fundamental deterioration with net income declining 14.8% and EPS down 11.8%, signaling severe margin compression or one-time charges. The company carries elevated leverage (2.23x D/E) with weak capital returns (ROE 5.9%, ROA 1.3%) and modest free cash flow generation relative to $4.2B debt burden, creating financial distress risk.

ChatGPT

Allison Transmission shows strong underlying fundamentals, with high gross, operating, and net margins alongside robust free cash flow generation. The balance sheet is liquid and profitability remains solid, but declining net income/EPS and the extreme reported revenue growth suggest growth quality should be treated cautiously until confirmed by future filings.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Key Strengths (ALSN)

Claude
  • + Positive free cash flow of $103M with 7.3% FCF margin supports debt servicing
  • + Adequate liquidity with 1.85x current ratio and $311M cash position
  • + Operating margin of 13.9% remains reasonable for automotive parts sector
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, and 20.7% net margin
  • + Strong cash generation with $836.00M operating cash flow and $661.00M free cash flow
  • + Healthy liquidity position with $1.50B cash and current ratio of 4.85x

ALSN Stock Risks: Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income collapsed 14.8% YoY despite massive revenue growth indicating severe margin compression or extraordinary charges
  • ! Excessive leverage at 2.23x D/E with $4.2B long-term debt against $1.9B equity; interest coverage ratio unavailable suggesting elevated concern
  • ! Abysmal return metrics (ROE 5.9%, ROA 1.3%) indicate capital inefficiency and poor shareholder value generation
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income and diluted EPS declined year over year, indicating earnings pressure despite reported revenue growth
  • ! Leverage remains meaningful with $2.91B long-term debt and 1.56x debt-to-equity
  • ! Reported 3371.7% revenue growth appears unusual, raising questions about comparability or growth quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and underlying causes of earnings decline relative to revenue growth
  • * Debt reduction progress and interest coverage ratio trajectory
  • * Return on equity improvement and free cash flow sustainability
ChatGPT
  • * Net income and diluted EPS trend
  • * Free cash flow consistency and debt reduction progress

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.4B
Net Income
$112.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.33
Free Cash Flow
$103.0M
Total Assets
$8.7B
Cash Position
$311.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

ALSN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 28.9%
Operating Margin 13.9%
Net Margin 8.0%
ROE 5.9%
ROA 1.3%
FCF Margin 7.3%

ALSN vs Automotive Sector: How Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Compares

How Allison Transmission Holdings Inc compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
ALSN 8.0%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
ALSN Sector
ROE
ALSN 5.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ALSN Sector
Current Ratio
ALSN 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
ALSN Sector
Debt/Equity
ALSN 2.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
ALSN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Stock Overvalued? ALSN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
8.0%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.23x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Balance Sheet: ALSN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.85x
Quick Ratio
1.18x
Debt/Equity
2.23x
Debt/Assets
78.1%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$4.2B

ALSN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ALSN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income $604.0M, EPS $4.91. Year 2022: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $299.0M, EPS $2.62. Year 2023: Revenue $3.0B, Net Income $442.0M, EPS $4.13. Year 2024: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $531.0M, EPS $5.53. Year 2025: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $673.0M, EPS $7.40.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's revenue has grown significantly by 20% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.40 reflects profitable operations.

ALSN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALSN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $766.0M $112.0M $1.33
Q3 2025 $693.0M $137.0M $1.63
Q2 2025 $814.0M $187.0M $2.13
Q1 2025 $766.0M $169.0M $1.90
Q3 2024 $736.0M $158.0M $1.76
Q2 2024 $783.0M $175.0M $1.92
Q1 2024 $741.0M $169.0M $1.85
Q3 2023 $710.0M $139.0M $1.45

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$156.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$20.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$53.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$25.0M
Returned to shareholders

ALSN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (CIK: 0001411207)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ALSN

What is the AI rating for ALSN?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (A) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ALSN's key strengths?

Claude: Positive free cash flow of $103M with 7.3% FCF margin supports debt servicing. Adequate liquidity with 1.85x current ratio and $311M cash position. ChatGPT: High profitability with 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, and 20.7% net margin. Strong cash generation with $836.00M operating cash flow and $661.00M free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in ALSN?

Claude: Net income collapsed 14.8% YoY despite massive revenue growth indicating severe margin compression or extraordinary charges. Excessive leverage at 2.23x D/E with $4.2B long-term debt against $1.9B equity; interest coverage ratio unavailable suggesting elevated concern. ChatGPT: Net income and diluted EPS declined year over year, indicating earnings pressure despite reported revenue growth. Leverage remains meaningful with $2.91B long-term debt and 1.56x debt-to-equity.

What is ALSN's revenue and growth?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.4B.

Does ALSN pay dividends?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc pays dividends, with $25.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ALSN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (CIK: 0001411207) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ALSN's EPS?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has a diluted EPS of $1.33.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is ALSN's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc has a B grade with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is ALSN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ALSN: ROE of 5.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 8.0% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is ALSN's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Allison Transmission Holdings Inc a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ALSN's free cash flow?

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's operating cash flow is $156.0M, with capital expenditures of $53.0M. FCF margin is 7.3%.

How does ALSN compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 8.0% (avg: 6%), ROE 5.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.85 (avg: 1.2).

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc carrying too much debt?

ALSN has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.23x, which is above the Automotive sector average of 1x. However, the current ratio of 1.85 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI