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Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

ASPN NYSE Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials DE CIK: 0001145986
Update Pending • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
80% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
C
78% Conf
C
82% Conf

📊 ASPN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $37.9M
Net Margin: -62.5%
Free Cash Flow: $32.8M
Current Ratio: 2.89x
Debt/Equity: 0.29x
EPS: $-0.29
AI Grade: C with 78% confidence
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) receives a C fundamental grade with 80% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $37.9M, net profit margin of -62.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -11.1%, Aspen Aerogels Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete ASPN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Aspen Aerogels exhibits severe operational distress with a -55.0% operating margin and -62.5% net margin, losing $23.7M on just $37.9M in revenue. While the company maintains a strong $173.9M cash position and positive free cash flow, the deteriorating 11.3% gross margin indicates fundamental business model challenges that will eventually erode its financial cushion. The contradiction between negative GAAP profitability and positive operating cash flow suggests reliance on non-cash adjustments that mask ongoing cash burn.

ChatGPT

Aspen Aerogels is showing exceptional top-line growth and solid liquidity, but the quality of that growth is weak because profitability remains deeply negative. The business generated positive operating cash flow and ended with strong cash balances, yet massive operating and net losses, negative returns on capital, and negative free cash flow indicate the model still needs substantial margin improvement to become fundamentally attractive.

Aspen Aerogels Inc. Key Strengths (ASPN)

Claude
  • + Strong cash position of $173.9M provides extended runway despite losses
  • + Excellent liquidity ratios (Current 2.89x, Quick 2.54x) ensure near-term solvency
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.29x Debt/Equity ratio limits refinancing risk
  • + Positive free cash flow of $32.8M despite operational losses indicates working capital or non-cash charge benefits
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is extremely strong, indicating meaningful demand expansion or scaling
  • + Liquidity is healthy with $156.86M in cash, a 3.90x current ratio, and a 3.29x quick ratio
  • + Leverage is manageable with debt/equity of 0.28x and modest long-term debt relative to equity

ASPN Stock Risks: Aspen Aerogels Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic profitability with -55.0% operating margin and -62.5% net margin indicates structural business model failure
  • ! Dangerously low gross margin of 11.3% suggests weak pricing power, high COGS, or commoditized products facing severe competition
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio (-26.0x) means operating losses cannot service debt obligations
  • ! Sustained operational losses will inevitably deplete cash reserves; positive FCF may reflect non-recurring items rather than sustainable operations
  • ! Negative ROE (-11.1%) and ROA (-5.8%) indicate the company is destroying shareholder value
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating margin of -139.5% and net margin of -143.7% show the company is far from sustainable profitability
  • ! ROE of -165.4% and ROA of -95.8% indicate severe capital inefficiency
  • ! Free cash flow remains negative and interest coverage is deeply negative, limiting financial resilience if losses persist

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trajectory - critical to assess if pricing/cost structure can improve
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability - verify if positive OCF is from core operations or working capital timing
  • * Monthly cash burn rate relative to $173.9M cash position to estimate runway
  • * Operating margin inflection point - when/if company achieves breakeven operations
ChatGPT
  • * Gross margin and operating margin improvement
  • * Free cash flow trend and cash burn sustainability

Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$37.9M
Net Income
$-23.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.29
Free Cash Flow
$32.8M
Total Assets
$410.5M
Cash Position
$173.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 86.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 2.89x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

ASPN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 11.3%
Operating Margin -55.0%
Net Margin -62.5%
ROE -11.1%
ROA -5.8%
FCF Margin 86.5%

ASPN vs Materials Sector: How Aspen Aerogels Inc. Compares

How Aspen Aerogels Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
ASPN -62.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
ASPN Sector
ROE
ASPN -11.1%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
ASPN Sector
Current Ratio
ASPN 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
ASPN Sector
Debt/Equity
ASPN 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
ASPN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Aspen Aerogels Inc. Stock Overvalued? ASPN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Aspen Aerogels Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-11.1%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-62.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.29x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Aspen Aerogels Inc. Balance Sheet: ASPN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.89x
Quick Ratio
2.54x
Debt/Equity
0.29x
Debt/Assets
48.0%
Interest Coverage
-26.04x
Long-term Debt
$61.2M

ASPN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ASPN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $139.4M, Net Income -$14.6M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $180.4M, Net Income -$21.8M, EPS $-0.83. Year 2023: Revenue $238.7M, Net Income -$37.1M, EPS $-1.22. Year 2024: Revenue $452.7M, Net Income -$82.7M, EPS $-2.10. Year 2025: Revenue $452.7M, Net Income -$45.8M, EPS $-0.66.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Aspen Aerogels Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 225% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.66 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

ASPN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
86.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ASPN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Aspen Aerogels Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $37.9M -$23.7M $-0.29
Q3 2025 $73.0M -$1.8M $0.03
Q2 2025 $78.0M -$1.8M $-0.11
Q1 2025 $78.7M -$1.8M $-0.02
Q3 2024 $60.8M -$1.8M $0.03
Q2 2024 $48.2M -$1.8M $0.19
Q1 2024 $45.6M -$1.8M $-0.02
Q3 2023 $36.7M -$13.1M $-0.19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Aspen Aerogels Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$34.1M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ASPN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Aspen Aerogels Inc. (CIK: 0001145986)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 18, 2026 8-K f8k_051526.htm View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ASPN

What is the AI rating for ASPN?

Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (C) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ASPN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong cash position of $173.9M provides extended runway despite losses. Excellent liquidity ratios (Current 2.89x, Quick 2.54x) ensure near-term solvency. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is extremely strong, indicating meaningful demand expansion or scaling. Liquidity is healthy with $156.86M in cash, a 3.90x current ratio, and a 3.29x quick ratio.

What are the risks of investing in ASPN?

Claude: Catastrophic profitability with -55.0% operating margin and -62.5% net margin indicates structural business model failure. Dangerously low gross margin of 11.3% suggests weak pricing power, high COGS, or commoditized products facing severe competition. ChatGPT: Operating margin of -139.5% and net margin of -143.7% show the company is far from sustainable profitability. ROE of -165.4% and ROA of -95.8% indicate severe capital inefficiency.

What is ASPN's revenue and growth?

Aspen Aerogels Inc. reported revenue of $37.9M.

Does ASPN pay dividends?

Aspen Aerogels Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find ASPN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Aspen Aerogels Inc. (CIK: 0001145986) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ASPN's EPS?

Aspen Aerogels Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.29.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is ASPN's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Aspen Aerogels Inc. has a C grade with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is ASPN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ASPN: ROE of -11.1% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -62.5% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is ASPN's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Aspen Aerogels Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ASPN's free cash flow?

Aspen Aerogels Inc.'s operating cash flow is $34.1M, with capital expenditures of $1.4M. FCF margin is 86.5%.

How does ASPN compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -62.5% (avg: 10%), ROE -11.1% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.89 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI