← Back to All US Stocks

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

ATO NYSE Natural Gas Distribution TX CIK: 0000731802
Update Pending • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
65% Conf
B
79% Conf

📊 ATO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.3B
Net Margin: 29.8%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.0B
Current Ratio: 1.00x
Debt/Equity: 0.64x
EPS: $5.92
AI Grade: B with 65% confidence
Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) receives a B fundamental grade with 72% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $3.3B, net profit margin of 29.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.6%, Atmos Energy Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Utilities sector. Below is our complete ATO stock analysis for 2026.

Is Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) a Good Investment?

Claude

ATMOS ENERGY demonstrates strong profitability metrics (38.7% operating margin, 29.8% net margin) and conservative leverage (0.64x D/E) with excellent interest coverage (11.9x), providing financial stability. However, the -$1.0B free cash flow and flat net income growth despite 12.9% revenue growth raise concerns about operational efficiency and margin compression that warrant closer monitoring.

ChatGPT

Atmos Energy shows solid top-line growth, resilient regulated-utility profitability, and manageable leverage, supported by steady operating cash generation and adequate liquidity. However, flat net income, very low ROE/ROA, and deeply negative free cash flow driven by heavy capital spending weaken overall growth quality and limit fundamental upside until those investments translate into stronger earnings and cash returns.

Atmos Energy Corp. Key Strengths (ATO)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 12.9% YoY in regulated utility segment
  • + Excellent profitability margins (38.7% operating, 29.8% net) with pricing power
  • + Conservative capital structure with 0.64x D/E ratio and 11.9x interest coverage providing financial safety
  • + Healthy operating cash flow of $1.0B supporting dividend and investments
  • + Growing diluted EPS (+9.2% YoY) despite flat absolute net income
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth remained healthy at 12.9% year over year with diluted EPS up 9.2%
  • + Profitability is stable for a regulated utility, with strong reported gross, operating, and net margins
  • + Balance sheet risk appears manageable with 0.67x debt-to-equity, 1.13x current ratio, and 4.8x interest coverage

ATO Stock Risks: Atmos Energy Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Deeply negative free cash flow (-$1.0B) with capex exceeding operating cash generation, limiting financial flexibility
  • ! Net income flatlined despite 12.9% revenue growth, indicating margin pressure or cost inflation
  • ! Minimal cash position ($125.7M) relative to $30.4B asset base and $2.0B annual capex spending
  • ! Tight liquidity with current ratio at 1.00x, providing limited buffer for operational disruptions
  • ! Heavy capital expenditure burden ($2.0B) may require increased debt financing or dividend constraints
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income was flat year over year despite higher revenue, suggesting limited operating leverage or rising cost pressure
  • ! Free cash flow was sharply negative at -$725.29M because capital expenditures materially exceeded operating cash flow
  • ! Returns on capital are weak, with ROE of 2.8% and ROA of 1.4%, indicating modest earnings efficiency relative to the asset base

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend and capex sustainability - determine if negative FCF is temporary or structural
  • * Net margin trajectory - monitor for continued compression despite revenue growth
  • * Debt/equity ratio and cash position - track if leverage increases to fund capex shortfall
  • * Operating cash flow consistency - confirm ability to support $2.0B annual capex and distributions
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow improvement relative to capital expenditures
  • * Net income and ROE expansion as infrastructure investments are absorbed

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$3.3B
Net Income
$984.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$5.92
Free Cash Flow
$-1.0B
Total Assets
$30.4B
Cash Position
$125.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Atmos Energy Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

ATO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 14.2%
Operating Margin 38.7%
Net Margin 29.8%
ROE 6.6%
ROA 3.2%
FCF Margin -30.4%

ATO vs Utilities Sector: How Atmos Energy Corp. Compares

How Atmos Energy Corp. compares to Utilities sector averages

Net Margin
ATO 29.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ATO Sector
ROE
ATO 6.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
ATO Sector
Current Ratio
ATO 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
ATO Sector
Debt/Equity
ATO 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.4x
ATO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Atmos Energy Corp. Stock Overvalued? ATO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Atmos Energy Corp. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Utilities sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Net Profit Margin
29.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.64x
Sector avg: 1.4x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Atmos Energy Corp. Balance Sheet: ATO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.00x
Quick Ratio
1.00x
Debt/Equity
0.64x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
11.92x
Long-term Debt
$9.5B

ATO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ATO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.4B, Net Income $511.4M, EPS $4.35. Year 2022: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $601.4M, EPS $4.89. Year 2023: Revenue $4.3B, Net Income $665.6M, EPS $5.12. Year 2024: Revenue $4.3B, Net Income $774.4M, EPS $5.60. Year 2025: Revenue $4.7B, Net Income $885.9M, EPS $6.10.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Atmos Energy Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 38% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $6.10 reflects profitable operations.

ATO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-30.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ATO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Atmos Energy Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $2.0B $351.9M $3.03
Q1 2026 $1.2B $351.9M $2.23
Q3 2025 $701.5M $165.6M $1.08
Q2 2025 $1.6B $311.3M $2.85
Q1 2025 $1.2B $311.3M $2.08
Q3 2024 $662.7M $137.8M $0.94
Q2 2024 $1.5B $271.9M $2.48
Q1 2024 $1.2B $271.9M $1.91

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Atmos Energy Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.0B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$2.0B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$324.5M
Returned to shareholders

ATO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Atmos Energy Corp. (CIK: 0000731802)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 10-Q ato-20260331.htm View →
May 6, 2026 8-K ato-20260506.htm View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ATO

What is the AI rating for ATO?

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ATO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 12.9% YoY in regulated utility segment. Excellent profitability margins (38.7% operating, 29.8% net) with pricing power. ChatGPT: Revenue growth remained healthy at 12.9% year over year with diluted EPS up 9.2%. Profitability is stable for a regulated utility, with strong reported gross, operating, and net margins.

What are the risks of investing in ATO?

Claude: Deeply negative free cash flow (-$1.0B) with capex exceeding operating cash generation, limiting financial flexibility. Net income flatlined despite 12.9% revenue growth, indicating margin pressure or cost inflation. ChatGPT: Net income was flat year over year despite higher revenue, suggesting limited operating leverage or rising cost pressure. Free cash flow was sharply negative at -$725.29M because capital expenditures materially exceeded operating cash flow.

What is ATO's revenue and growth?

Atmos Energy Corp. reported revenue of $3.3B.

Does ATO pay dividends?

Atmos Energy Corp. pays dividends, with $324.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ATO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Atmos Energy Corp. (CIK: 0000731802) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ATO's EPS?

Atmos Energy Corp. has a diluted EPS of $5.92.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is ATO's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. has a B grade with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is ATO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ATO: ROE of 6.6% (sector avg: 10%), net margin of 29.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is ATO's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Atmos Energy Corp. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ATO's free cash flow?

Atmos Energy Corp.'s operating cash flow is $1.0B, with capital expenditures of $2.0B. FCF margin is -30.4%.

How does ATO compare to other Utilities stocks?

Vs Utilities sector averages: Net margin 29.8% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.6% (avg: 10%), current ratio 1.00 (avg: 0.8).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% ANET 88% RDDT 88% KNSL 88% MGRE 88% FIZZ 88% AVGO 87% DECK 87%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI