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Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

BURL NYSE Retail-Department Stores DE CIK: 0001579298
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 30, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-02
Combined AI Grade
C
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
72% Conf
B
73% Conf

📊 BURL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.9B
Net Margin: 4.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-227.3M
Current Ratio: 1.16x
Debt/Equity: 1.04x
EPS: $1.79
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) receives a C fundamental grade with 72% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.9B, net profit margin of 4.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.2%, Burlington Stores, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete BURL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Burlington Stores faces significant operational headwinds with flat revenue growth (0.1% YoY) and negative free cash flow of -$227.3M despite $2.9B in sales, indicating unsustainable cash generation. Weak profitability metrics (4% net margin, 6.2% ROE) combined with elevated leverage (1.04x Debt/Equity) and deteriorating liquidity (1.16x current ratio) create structural challenges in the competitive discount retail environment.

ChatGPT

Burlington Stores shows solid core profitability, strong returns on equity, and very strong interest coverage, which points to a fundamentally healthy operating model with manageable leverage. However, revenue and net income are essentially flat year over year, and free cash flow conversion is thin after heavy capital spending, so the business currently looks more financially resilient than meaningfully accelerating.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Key Strengths (BURL)

Claude
  • + Maintains gross margin of 33.9% showing reasonable cost management
  • + Holds $747.4M in cash providing near-term liquidity buffer
  • + Adequate interest coverage of 5.0x suggests debt service capacity remains intact
ChatGPT
  • + Strong operating profitability with 7.1% operating margin and 5.3% net margin
  • + Healthy balance sheet support from $1.23B cash, 1.23x current ratio, and 28.7x interest coverage
  • + High ROE of 33.8% indicates efficient capital generation

BURL Stock Risks: Burlington Stores, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$227.3M with CapEx of $288.7M exceeding operating cash flow, indicating cash burn despite mature business scale
  • ! Zero revenue and net income growth (0.1% and 0.0% YoY respectively) signals market saturation or competitive erosion in discount retail segment
  • ! High leverage (1.04x Debt/Equity, $1.9B long-term debt) combined with weak cash generation creates refinancing risk and limits financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term operating momentum
  • ! Free cash flow is modest at 1.5% margin due to elevated capital expenditures
  • ! EPS growth appears much stronger than net income growth, which may indicate weaker underlying earnings growth quality

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trajectory and path to positive FCF generation
  • * Operating margin expansion and same-store sales trends
  • * Debt reduction progress and debt-to-EBITDA covenant compliance
ChatGPT
  • * Comparable sales and total revenue growth
  • * Free cash flow generation relative to capital expenditures

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.9B
Net Income
$114.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.79
Free Cash Flow
$-227.3M
Total Assets
$9.8B
Cash Position
$747.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Burlington Stores, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

BURL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 33.9%
Operating Margin 5.0%
Net Margin 4.0%
ROE 6.2%
ROA 1.2%
FCF Margin -8.0%

BURL vs Consumer Sector: How Burlington Stores, Inc. Compares

How Burlington Stores, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
BURL 4.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BURL Sector
ROE
BURL 6.2%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BURL Sector
Current Ratio
BURL 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BURL Sector
Debt/Equity
BURL 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
BURL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Burlington Stores, Inc. Stock Overvalued? BURL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Burlington Stores, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.2%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
4.0%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.04x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Balance Sheet: BURL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.16x
Quick Ratio
0.49x
Debt/Equity
1.04x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
5.02x
Long-term Debt
$1.9B

BURL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BURL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $9.3B, Net Income $465.1M, EPS $6.91. Year 2022: Revenue $9.3B, Net Income -$216.5M, EPS $-3.28. Year 2023: Revenue $9.7B, Net Income $408.8M, EPS $6.00. Year 2024: Revenue $10.6B, Net Income $230.1M, EPS $3.49. Year 2025: Revenue $11.5B, Net Income $339.6M, EPS $5.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Burlington Stores, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 24% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.23 reflects profitable operations.

BURL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-8.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BURL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Burlington Stores, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.5B $100.8M $1.58
Q3 2025 $2.5B $73.8M $1.40
Q2 2025 $2.5B $73.8M $1.15
Q1 2025 $2.4B $78.5M $1.22
Q3 2024 $2.3B $30.9M $0.75
Q2 2024 $2.2B $30.9M $0.47
Q1 2024 $2.1B $32.7M $0.50
Q3 2023 $2.0B $12.0M $0.26

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Burlington Stores, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$61.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$134.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$288.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$336.0M
Returned to shareholders

BURL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Burlington Stores, Inc. (CIK: 0001579298)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
May 28, 2026 10-Q burl-20260502.htm View →
May 28, 2026 8-K burl-20260528.htm View →
May 26, 2026 8-K burl-20260519.htm View →
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BURL

What is the AI rating for BURL?

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BURL's key strengths?

Claude: Maintains gross margin of 33.9% showing reasonable cost management. Holds $747.4M in cash providing near-term liquidity buffer. ChatGPT: Strong operating profitability with 7.1% operating margin and 5.3% net margin. Healthy balance sheet support from $1.23B cash, 1.23x current ratio, and 28.7x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in BURL?

Claude: Negative free cash flow of -$227.3M with CapEx of $288.7M exceeding operating cash flow, indicating cash burn despite mature business scale. Zero revenue and net income growth (0.1% and 0.0% YoY respectively) signals market saturation or competitive erosion in discount retail segment. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is nearly flat, suggesting limited near-term operating momentum. Free cash flow is modest at 1.5% margin due to elevated capital expenditures.

What is BURL's revenue and growth?

Burlington Stores, Inc. reported revenue of $2.9B.

Does BURL pay dividends?

Burlington Stores, Inc. pays dividends, with $336.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BURL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Burlington Stores, Inc. (CIK: 0001579298) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BURL's EPS?

Burlington Stores, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.79.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is BURL's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. has a C grade with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is BURL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BURL: ROE of 6.2% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 4.0% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is BURL's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Burlington Stores, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BURL's free cash flow?

Burlington Stores, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $61.5M, with capital expenditures of $288.7M. FCF margin is -8.0%.

How does BURL compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 4.0% (avg: 8%), ROE 6.2% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.16 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 30, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-02 | Powered by Claude AI