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Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

CON NYSE Services-Specialty Outpatient Facilities, NEC DE CIK: 0002014596
Update Pending • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
72% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
70% Conf
B
74% Conf

📊 CON Key Takeaways

Revenue: $569.6M
Net Margin: 8.9%
Free Cash Flow: $9.9M
Current Ratio: 1.26x
Debt/Equity: 3.68x
EPS: $0.39
AI Grade: B with 70% confidence
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) receives a B fundamental grade with 72% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $569.6M, net profit margin of 8.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 11.9%, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete CON stock analysis for 2026.

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) a Good Investment?

Claude

Concentra demonstrates solid operational growth with 13.9% revenue expansion and a reasonable 16.8% operating margin, but faces significant financial stress from excessive leverage (3.68x Debt/Equity) and critically weak cash conversion (only $9.9M FCF on $50.5M net income). The declining EPS despite revenue growth signals margin compression, while minimal liquidity ($61.7M cash vs. $1.6B long-term debt) creates vulnerability to operational setbacks.

ChatGPT

Concentra shows solid fundamental operating performance, with revenue up 13.9%, operating margin of 15.4%, and healthy free cash flow generation equal to 9.1% of revenue. However, profit conversion is less impressive than top-line growth suggests, with net income up only 1.4% and diluted EPS down 11.0%, while a highly leveraged balance sheet limits financial flexibility.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Key Strengths (CON)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.9% YoY demonstrates market demand and operational scale
  • + Operating margin of 16.8% is reasonable for specialty outpatient facilities sector
  • + Positive and growing operating income of $95.6M provides operational cash generation foundation
ChatGPT
  • + Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability
  • + Healthy cash generation with $279.40M in operating cash flow and $197.06M in free cash flow
  • + ROA of 5.8% and double-digit operating margin indicate an economically viable core business

CON Stock Risks: Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Excessive leverage with 3.68x Debt/Equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $424.7M equity creates significant financial instability risk
  • ! Critical cash flow weakness: only $21M operating cash flow on $50.5M net income indicates poor earnings quality and debt service vulnerability
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 11.0% YoY despite 13.9% revenue growth, signaling margin compression and/or shareholder dilution from capital structure
  • ! Severe liquidity constraint with just $61.7M cash and 1.26x current ratio limits financial flexibility and debt repayment capacity
  • ! Extremely low ROA of 1.7% and weak FCF margin of 1.7% suggest operational efficiency challenges relative to asset base
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage, with $1.56B of long-term debt and debt-to-equity of 3.98x
  • ! Thin balance sheet cushion, with only $393.28M of equity against $2.44B of liabilities
  • ! Earnings quality concern as EPS fell 11.0% despite revenue growth and slightly higher net income

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow margin trend - critical indicator of debt service sustainability and business model health
  • * Debt/Equity ratio and absolute debt levels - must monitor deleveraging progress to reduce financial risk
  • * Net Income growth rate vs. Revenue growth rate - watch for continued margin compression or stabilization
  • * Cash balance and liquidity metrics - any decline would materially worsen financial distress risk
ChatGPT
  • * Debt reduction and interest burden relative to operating income
  • * Diluted EPS growth versus revenue growth

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$569.6M
Net Income
$50.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.39
Free Cash Flow
$9.9M
Total Assets
$2.9B
Cash Position
$61.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.7% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

CON Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.8%
Net Margin 8.9%
ROE 11.9%
ROA 1.7%
FCF Margin 1.7%

CON vs Services Sector: How Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Compares

How Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
CON 8.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CON Sector
ROE
CON 11.9%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
CON Sector
Current Ratio
CON 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
CON Sector
Debt/Equity
CON 3.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CON Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Stock Overvalued? CON Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
11.9%
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
8.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.68x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Balance Sheet: CON Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.26x
Quick Ratio
1.26x
Debt/Equity
3.68x
Debt/Assets
84.3%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

CON Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CON 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $166.7M, EPS $1.60. Year 2025: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $179.9M, EPS $1.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 14% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.73 reflects profitable operations.

CON Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CON Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $500.8M $38.9M $0.30
Q3 2025 $489.6M $38.9M $0.37
Q2 2025 $477.9M $38.9M $0.35
Q1 2025 $467.6M $38.9M $0.30
Q3 2024 $474.0M $44.3M $0.37
Q2 2024 $467.1M $46.3M $0.50

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$21.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$15.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$11.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$8.0M
Returned to shareholders

CON SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CIK: 0002014596)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780432188.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778533282.xml View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q cghp-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K cghp-20260505.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K tm2612951d1_8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CON

What is the AI rating for CON?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CON's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 13.9% YoY demonstrates market demand and operational scale. Operating margin of 16.8% is reasonable for specialty outpatient facilities sector. ChatGPT: Strong revenue growth supported by solid operating profitability. Healthy cash generation with $279.40M in operating cash flow and $197.06M in free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in CON?

Claude: Excessive leverage with 3.68x Debt/Equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $424.7M equity creates significant financial instability risk. Critical cash flow weakness: only $21M operating cash flow on $50.5M net income indicates poor earnings quality and debt service vulnerability. ChatGPT: High leverage, with $1.56B of long-term debt and debt-to-equity of 3.98x. Thin balance sheet cushion, with only $393.28M of equity against $2.44B of liabilities.

What is CON's revenue and growth?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. reported revenue of $569.6M.

Does CON pay dividends?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. pays dividends, with $8.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CON SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CIK: 0002014596) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CON's EPS?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.39.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is CON's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. has a B grade with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is CON stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CON: ROE of 11.9% (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 8.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is CON's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CON's free cash flow?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $21.0M, with capital expenditures of $11.1M. FCF margin is 1.7%.

How does CON compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 8.9% (avg: 10%), ROE 11.9% (avg: 16%), current ratio 1.26 (avg: 1.5).

Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. carrying too much debt?

CON has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.68x, which is above the Services sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.26 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI