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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

JEF NYSE Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies NY CIK: 0000096223
Updated This Month • Analysis: Jul 30, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-31
Combined AI Grade
C
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
72% Conf
B
84% Conf

📊 JEF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $6.0B
Net Margin: 6.8%
Free Cash Flow: $-250.7M
Current Ratio: 1.97x
Debt/Equity: 1.71x
EPS: $0.70
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) receives a C fundamental grade with 78% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $6.0B, net profit margin of 6.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.9%, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete JEF stock analysis for 2026.

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) a Good Investment?

Claude

Jefferies demonstrates paradoxical fundamentals: exceptional 95% revenue growth masks severe operational deterioration evidenced by negative free cash flow of -$250.7M and critically unsustainable interest coverage of 0.3x. Net income declined 7.5% YoY despite surging revenues, indicating the company is not converting growth into profits or cash, while leverage of 1.71x compounds refinancing risk in this capital structure.

ChatGPT

Jefferies' 95.1% revenue growth did not translate into earnings growth, as net income declined 7.5% and margins remained modest, indicating weak growth quality. Strong liquidity and a sizable equity base provide resilience, but negative free cash flow, low returns on assets and equity, and high leverage limit the fundamental outlook.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Key Strengths (JEF)

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 95.1% YoY indicates strong market share gains
  • + Substantial cash reserves of $14.3B and solid liquidity ratios (1.97x current, 1.73x quick) provide near-term runway
  • + Large asset base of $79.5B demonstrates established market presence in broker-dealer sector
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue increased 95.1% year over year
  • + Cash and equivalents of $14.31B support liquidity
  • + Current and quick ratios of 1.97x and 1.73x indicate solid near-term coverage

JEF Stock Risks: Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$137.9M) and free cash flow (-$250.7M) signal company is burning cash despite high revenues, unsustainable trajectory
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.3x is critically low; operating income cannot cover debt servicing obligations, indicating financial distress
  • ! Net income declined 7.5% YoY despite 95% revenue growth, revealing deteriorating profitability and potential one-time revenue recognition issues
  • ! Very low returns (ROE 3.9%, ROA 0.5%) demonstrate poor capital efficiency and deployment
  • ! Debt-to-equity of 1.71x combined with weak coverage ratios creates refinancing and solvency risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income declined 7.5% despite substantial revenue growth
  • ! Free cash flow was negative $250.73M and operating cash flow was negative $137.86M
  • ! Debt-to-equity of 1.71x and 0.3x interest coverage indicate significant financial leverage

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend toward positive territory and sustainable free cash flow generation
  • * Interest coverage ratio improvement to >1.5x minimum; debt service capacity and refinancing needs
  • * Net income margin recovery and cost structure normalization to align with revenue growth
ChatGPT
  • * Net income growth and operating margin
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$6.0B
Net Income
$409.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.70
Free Cash Flow
$-250.7M
Total Assets
$79.5B
Cash Position
$14.3B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

JEF Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 8.8%
Net Margin 6.8%
ROE 3.9%
ROA 0.5%
FCF Margin -4.2%

JEF vs Finance Sector: How Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Compares

How Jefferies Financial Group Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
JEF 6.8%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
JEF Sector
ROE
JEF 3.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
JEF Sector
Current Ratio
JEF 2.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
JEF Sector
Debt/Equity
JEF 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
JEF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Stock Overvalued? JEF Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
6.8%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.71x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Balance Sheet: JEF Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.97x
Quick Ratio
1.73x
Debt/Equity
1.71x
Debt/Assets
86.7%
Interest Coverage
0.32x
Long-term Debt
$18.0B

JEF Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

JEF 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.1B, Net Income $959.6M, EPS $3.03. Year 2022: Revenue $6.1B, Net Income N/A, EPS $2.65. Year 2023: Revenue $6.1B, Net Income N/A, EPS $6.13. Year 2024: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income N/A, EPS $3.06. Year 2025: Revenue $5.5B, Net Income N/A, EPS $1.10.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 10% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.10 reflects profitable operations.

JEF Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-4.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

JEF Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $1.2B $91.4M $0.40
Q1 2026 $1.1B $136.8M $0.57
Q3 2025 $1.3B $181.0M $0.75
Q2 2025 $1.1B $91.4M $0.40
Q1 2025 $1.0B $136.8M $0.57
Q3 2024 $845.0M $53.9M $0.22
Q2 2024 $753.4M $8.7M $0.05
Q1 2024 $775.0M $129.3M $0.54

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$137.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$371.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$112.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$184.6M
Returned to shareholders

JEF SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (CIK: 0000096223)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Aug 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/marketforms-73743.xml View →
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jul 15, 2026 8-K ef20077911_8k.htm View →
Jul 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jul 9, 2026 10-Q jef-20260531.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about JEF

What is the AI rating for JEF?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are JEF's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 95.1% YoY indicates strong market share gains. Substantial cash reserves of $14.3B and solid liquidity ratios (1.97x current, 1.73x quick) provide near-term runway. ChatGPT: Revenue increased 95.1% year over year. Cash and equivalents of $14.31B support liquidity.

What are the risks of investing in JEF?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow (-$137.9M) and free cash flow (-$250.7M) signal company is burning cash despite high revenues, unsustainable trajectory. Interest coverage ratio of 0.3x is critically low; operating income cannot cover debt servicing obligations, indicating financial distress. ChatGPT: Net income declined 7.5% despite substantial revenue growth. Free cash flow was negative $250.73M and operating cash flow was negative $137.86M.

What is JEF's revenue and growth?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. reported revenue of $6.0B.

Does JEF pay dividends?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. pays dividends, with $184.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find JEF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (CIK: 0000096223) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is JEF's EPS?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.70.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is JEF's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in August 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. has a C grade with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is JEF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for JEF: ROE of 3.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 6.8% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is JEF's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Jefferies Financial Group Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is JEF's free cash flow?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-137.9M, with capital expenditures of $112.9M. FCF margin is -4.2%.

How does JEF compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 6.8% (avg: 25%), ROE 3.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.97 (avg: 1.2).

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. carrying too much debt?

JEF has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. However, the current ratio of 1.97 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jul 30, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-31 | Powered by Claude AI