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Carmax Inc. (KMX) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

KMX NYSE Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations VA CIK: 0001170010
Updated This Month • Analysis: Jul 28, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-31
Combined AI Grade
C
86% Confidence
AGREEMENT
D
85% Conf
C
86% Conf

📊 KMX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.0B
Net Margin: 2.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-85.7M
Current Ratio: 2.70x
Debt/Equity: 2.87x
EPS: $1.31
AI Grade: D with 85% confidence
Carmax Inc. (KMX) receives a C fundamental grade with 86% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $8.0B, net profit margin of 2.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.0%, Carmax Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete KMX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Carmax Inc. (KMX) a Good Investment?

Claude

CarMax faces a fundamental profitability crisis with EPS collapsing 47.7% YoY, revenue stagnating at 0% growth, and negative free cash flow of -$85.7M indicating the company is burning cash. Compounding this deterioration, excessive leverage at 2.87x debt-to-equity combined with anemic returns (ROE 3%, ROA 0.7%) and thin margins (2.3% net) create acute financial distress risk, particularly if operating performance continues to decline.

ChatGPT

Fundamentals are weakening: revenue was flat while diluted EPS fell 47.7%, indicating significant pressure on earnings quality and profitability. High leverage, minimal cash generation, and negative free cash flow outweigh the company's positive gross profit and current-ratio liquidity.

Carmax Inc. Key Strengths (KMX)

Claude
  • + Current ratio of 2.70x provides short-term liquidity cushion
  • + Company maintains positive operating cash flow of $17.6M
  • + Still generating positive net income of $185.6M despite challenges
ChatGPT
  • + Positive net income of $185.63M despite a challenging operating environment
  • + Current ratio of 2.70x indicates adequate coverage of near-term obligations
  • + Gross margin remained positive at 10.7%

KMX Stock Risks: Carmax Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic free cash flow burn of -$85.7M; company is destroying cash
  • ! EPS plummeting 47.7% YoY with revenue flat indicates severe operational deterioration
  • ! Dangerous leverage of 2.87x debt-to-equity with only $132.2M cash against $17.6B long-term debt creates solvency risk
  • ! Razor-thin net margin of 2.3% leaves no buffer for cyclical downturns in automotive retail
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.82x reveals heavy inventory dependence; illiquid asset base
ChatGPT
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 47.7% year over year despite flat revenue
  • ! Long-term debt of $17.56B and debt-to-equity of 2.87x create substantial leverage risk
  • ! Free cash flow was negative $85.75M with operating cash flow of only $17.59M

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend—must return to positive territory to avoid balance sheet stress
  • * EPS trajectory—current 47.7% decline is unsustainable; watch for stabilization
  • * Debt service coverage—operating cash flow inadequate relative to debt obligations
  • * Gross margin sustainability—10.7% is already compressed; further erosion signals competitive weakness
  • * Revenue growth—0% growth with deteriorating profitability is a lethal combination
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash flow conversion
  • * EPS growth and net margin

Carmax Inc. (KMX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$8.0B
Net Income
$185.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.31
Free Cash Flow
$-85.7M
Total Assets
$26.6B
Cash Position
$132.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.70x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

KMX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 10.7%
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 2.3%
ROE 3.0%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin -1.1%

KMX vs Automotive Sector: How Carmax Inc. Compares

How Carmax Inc. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
KMX 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
KMX Sector
ROE
KMX 3.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
KMX Sector
Current Ratio
KMX 2.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
KMX Sector
Debt/Equity
KMX 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
KMX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Carmax Inc. Stock Overvalued? KMX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Carmax Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
2.3%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.87x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Carmax Inc. Balance Sheet: KMX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.70x
Quick Ratio
0.82x
Debt/Equity
2.87x
Debt/Assets
77.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$17.6B

KMX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

KMX 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $31.9B, Net Income $888.4M, EPS $5.33. Year 2023: Revenue $31.9B, Net Income $746.9M, EPS $4.52. Year 2024: Revenue $31.9B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $6.97. Year 2025: Revenue $29.7B, Net Income $484.8M, EPS $3.03. Year 2026: Revenue $26.5B, Net Income $479.2M, EPS $3.02.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Carmax Inc.'s revenue has declined by 17% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $3.02 reflects profitable operations.

KMX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-1.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

KMX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Carmax Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2027 $7.5B $185.6M $1.31
Q3 2026 $5.8B $62.2M $0.43
Q2 2026 $6.6B $95.4M $0.64
Q1 2026 $7.1B $152.4M $0.97
Q3 2025 $6.1B $82.0M $0.52
Q2 2025 $7.0B $118.6M $0.75
Q1 2025 $7.1B $152.4M $0.97
Q3 2024 $6.1B $37.6M $0.24

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Carmax Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$17.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$103.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

KMX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Carmax Inc. (CIK: 0001170010)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jul 31, 2026 8-K kmx-20260729.htm View →
Jun 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1782767320.xml View →
Jun 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1782767314.xml View →
Jun 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1782767308.xml View →
Jun 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1782767280.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about KMX

What is the AI rating for KMX?

Carmax Inc. (KMX) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (C) with 86% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are KMX's key strengths?

Claude: Current ratio of 2.70x provides short-term liquidity cushion. Company maintains positive operating cash flow of $17.6M. ChatGPT: Positive net income of $185.63M despite a challenging operating environment. Current ratio of 2.70x indicates adequate coverage of near-term obligations.

What are the risks of investing in KMX?

Claude: Catastrophic free cash flow burn of -$85.7M; company is destroying cash. EPS plummeting 47.7% YoY with revenue flat indicates severe operational deterioration. ChatGPT: Diluted EPS declined 47.7% year over year despite flat revenue. Long-term debt of $17.56B and debt-to-equity of 2.87x create substantial leverage risk.

What is KMX's revenue and growth?

Carmax Inc. reported revenue of $8.0B.

Does KMX pay dividends?

Carmax Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find KMX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Carmax Inc. (CIK: 0001170010) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is KMX's EPS?

Carmax Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.31.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is KMX's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in August 2026, Carmax Inc. has a C grade with 86% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is KMX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for KMX: ROE of 3.0% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 2.3% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is KMX's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Carmax Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is KMX's free cash flow?

Carmax Inc.'s operating cash flow is $17.6M, with capital expenditures of $103.3M. FCF margin is -1.1%.

How does KMX compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 2.3% (avg: 6%), ROE 3.0% (avg: 12%), current ratio 2.70 (avg: 1.2).

Is Carmax Inc. carrying too much debt?

KMX has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.87x, which is above the Automotive sector average of 1x. However, the current ratio of 2.70 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jul 28, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-31 | Powered by Claude AI