📊 OLLI Key Takeaways
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) a Good Investment?
Strong revenue growth (+16.6% YoY) and accelerating EPS (+20.4%) demonstrate operational leverage, supported by a fortress balance sheet with minimal debt. However, severely depressed returns on capital (ROE 3.0%, ROA 1.9%) and weak free cash flow conversion (3% margin) suggest the asset-heavy retail model generates growth without proportional profitability gains, indicating management must improve capital deployment efficiency.
Ollie’s shows strong fundamentals with double-digit revenue and EPS growth, healthy margins, and robust free cash flow, all while carrying virtually no long-term debt. Liquidity is solid and interest coverage is ample, supporting continued store expansion and resilience through cycles. Execution risk remains around inventory sourcing and competitive intensity, but current operating trends are favorable.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Key Strengths (OLLI)
- Strong topline growth (+16.6% YoY) with EPS growing faster (+20.4%), demonstrating operational leverage
- Fortress balance sheet with only $1.5M long-term debt, $197.7M cash, and 15.3x interest coverage eliminates financial risk
- Solid gross margin of 41.9% and good current liquidity ratio (2.32x) provide operational stability
- Debt-free balance sheet with strong liquidity and 65.6x interest coverage
- High and improving profitability (40.5% gross, 11.2% operating, 9.1% net)
- Consistent free cash flow generation (7.3% FCF margin) to fund growth
OLLI Stock Risks: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks
- Critically low returns on capital (ROE 3.0%, ROA 1.9%) indicate $3B+ asset base deployed inefficiently, destroying shareholder value despite growth
- Free cash flow margin (3.0%) severely lags revenue growth (16.6%), signaling growth comes at cost of profitability and cash generation
- Inventory-heavy model with low quick ratio (0.66x) and limited liquid assets relative to scale creates operational inflexibility
- Closeout inventory sourcing variability could pressure gross margin and turns
- Consumer softness may trigger markdowns and compress comps/margins
- Competitive pressure from discounters and shrink/cost inflation impacting SG&A leverage
Key Metrics to Watch
- Free cash flow conversion ratio and operating cash flow as percentage of revenue
- Return on equity and return on assets trend—must improve from current crisis levels
- Quick ratio and inventory turnover to assess working capital management
- Comparable-store sales growth
- Gross margin
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios
💡 AI Analyst Insight
The relatively thin 3.0% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.32x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.
OLLI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis
OLLI vs Consumer Sector: How Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Compares
How Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? OLLI Valuation Analysis 2026
Based on fundamental analysis, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: OLLI Debt, Cash & Liquidity
OLLI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend
5-Year Trend Summary: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 46% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.64 reflects profitable operations.
OLLI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance
OLLI Quarterly Earnings & Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $576.8M | $47.6M | $0.77 |
| Q3 2025 | $517.4M | $35.9M | $0.58 |
| Q2 2025 | $578.4M | $49.0M | $0.79 |
| Q1 2025 | $508.8M | $46.3M | $0.75 |
| Q3 2024 | $480.1M | $31.8M | $0.51 |
| Q2 2024 | $514.5M | $42.2M | $0.68 |
| Q1 2024 | $459.2M | $31.0M | $0.50 |
| Q3 2023 | $418.1M | $23.1M | $0.37 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation
OLLI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001639300)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about OLLI
What is the AI rating for OLLI?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a Combined AI Grade of A from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (A) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are OLLI's key strengths?
Claude: Strong topline growth (+16.6% YoY) with EPS growing faster (+20.4%), demonstrating operational leverage. Fortress balance sheet with only $1.5M long-term debt, $197.7M cash, and 15.3x interest coverage eliminates financial risk. ChatGPT: Debt-free balance sheet with strong liquidity and 65.6x interest coverage. High and improving profitability (40.5% gross, 11.2% operating, 9.1% net).
What are the risks of investing in OLLI?
Claude: Critically low returns on capital (ROE 3.0%, ROA 1.9%) indicate $3B+ asset base deployed inefficiently, destroying shareholder value despite growth. Free cash flow margin (3.0%) severely lags revenue growth (16.6%), signaling growth comes at cost of profitability and cash generation. ChatGPT: Closeout inventory sourcing variability could pressure gross margin and turns. Consumer softness may trigger markdowns and compress comps/margins.
What is OLLI's revenue and growth?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $658.9M.
Does OLLI pay dividends?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find OLLI SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001639300) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is OLLI's EPS?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.92.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
What is OLLI's fundamental grade?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has a A grade with 77% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.
Is OLLI stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for OLLI: ROE of 3.0% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 8.6% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
What is OLLI's AI grade for 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. a combined A grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is OLLI's free cash flow?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $45.5M, with capital expenditures of $25.5M. FCF margin is 3.0%.
How does OLLI compare to other Consumer stocks?
Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 8.6% (avg: 8%), ROE 3.0% (avg: 18%), current ratio 2.32 (avg: 1.5).